Futures Trading, Spot Market Volatility, and Market Efficiency: The Case of the Korean Index Futures Markets(Journal of Futures Markets, 2004)

by 내일(Jae-seongYoo) posted Feb 17, 2015


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We examine the effect of the introduction of index futures trading in the Korean markets on spot price volatility and market efficiency of the underlying KOSPI 200 stocks, relative to the carefully-matched non-KOSPI 200 stocks.  Employing market data during the period of January 1990-December 1998, we find that the introdcution of KOSPI 200 index futures trading is associated with greater market efficiency but, at the same time, greater spot price volatility in the underlying stock market.  We also find that KOSPI 200 stocks experience lower spot price volatility and higher trading efficiency than non-KOSPI 200 stocks after the introduction of futures trading.  The trading efficiency gap between the two groups of stocks, however, lessens over time and is reversed following the addition of options trading.  Overall, our results suggest that while futures trading in Korea increases spot price volatility and market efficiency, there exists volatility spillover to stocks against which futures are not traded.  We provide several factors unique in the Korean markets including circuit breakers, sidercar system, restrictions on foreign ownership, and inactive program trading as potential factors to explain some of our puzzling evidence.

JEL Classification: G10
Keywords: futures trading; spot price volatility; market efficiency, KOSPI 200

Sung C. Bae, Taek Ho Kwan, Jong Won Park(2004), "Futures Trading, Spot Market Volatility, and Market Efficiency:The Case of the Korean Index Futures Markets", Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 24 No. 12, 1195-1228.